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Leasing Continues to Decline in Q2 2022 Amid Inventory Shortages

Published: September 7, 2022 by Melinda Zabritski

Full length of woman standing amidst cars in showroom

Leasing has long been a popular choice among consumers who want to enjoy the latest vehicle models, but at a lower monthly payment. In fact, the average monthly lease payment was $127 less than a loan payment in Q2 2022. However, in recent quarters, we’ve seen leasing availability decline due to current market conditions.

According to Experian’s State of the Automotive Finance Market Report: Q2 2022, leasing declined from 27.82% to 19.65% year-over-year, marking the lowest drop in quite some time. When analyzing previous data, leasing comprised 30.41% of all new vehicles in Q2 2018, decreasing to 30.04% in Q2 2019 and 26.58% in Q2 2020.

There are likely a number of factors contributing to the decline of leasing over recent years, including the ongoing inventory shortages and OEMs not offering as many incentives, which may result in leasing opportunities becoming less common. Other scenarios can be consumers choosing to extend their lease, or purchase the vehicle once their lease has expired.

In Q2 2022, the average monthly lease payment increased to $540, from $475 in Q2 2021. Though, the average monthly loan payment for a new vehicle surpassed $600 this quarter—coming in at $667, an $85 year-over-year increase.

As automotive professionals continue to navigate through the inventory shortages and subsequent vehicle price increases, understanding the landscape and what options are available for consumers will be critical. One way to keep on top of the trends is analyzing the pricing options for the most popular leased models, which will enable more informed decisions in the months to come.

Average monthly payment for top leased models

As previously mentioned, there was an average payment difference of $127 between a lease and a loan in Q2 2022. However, that’s just an average, and these numbers can vary based on the vehicle type. For example, the average monthly lease payment for a Honda Civic was $363 in Q2 2022, as opposed to the average monthly loan payment of $476. In comparison, the average monthly lease payment for a Ford F-150 came in at $516 this quarter, compared to the average monthly loan payment of $832.

While a pickup truck may typically have a higher average monthly lease payment than a sedan, consumers are continuing to choose larger vehicles, overall. In Q2 2022, there was only one sedan that made up the top leased vehicles—with the Ford F-150 having the highest leasing registration volume, comprising 2.3% this quarter. Rounding out the top five were Chevrolet Equinox (2.27%), Honda CR-V (2.16%), Honda Civic (2.09%), and Ram 1500 (1.81%).

Despite the overall decline in leasing over the past year, it continues to be a financing option that consumers can consider amid vehicle prices increasing. Knowing what vehicles are most prevalent as well as their price points will allow professionals to create strategies that cater to the most current consumer financing preferences during their search for a vehicle that fits their needs.

To learn more about leasing and other automotive finance trends, watch the entire State of the Automotive Finance Market: Q2 2022 presentation on demand.

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In an ever-evolving automotive landscape, where shifting consumer behavior meets fluctuating market dynamics, Experian’s State of the Automotive Finance Market Report: Q2 2025 delivers key insights into how both consumers and professionals are adapting to the changes. This quarter’s report revealed a sharp increase in vehicle refinancing—up nearly 70% from Q2 2024—as consumers capitalized on the more stable rate environment. In fact, after refinancing, the average interest rate went from 10.45% to 8.45%. That shift resulted in their monthly payment dropping by an average of $71. Interestingly, credit unions played a significant role in the refinance surge, increasing their market share from 63.22% last year to 68.33% this quarter, and borrowers who refinanced through credit unions saw their monthly payments decrease by $87 on average. Banks saw a slight dip in their share of the refinancing market year-over-year, going from 22.71% to 21.45%, and borrowers who refinanced through them saved an average of $46 a month. New leaders emerge as the lender market share continues to evolve Taking a deeper dive into the automotive finance market share, banks reclaimed their leading position for total vehicle financing, rising to 27.50% in Q2 2025, from 24.50% in Q2 2024. Meanwhile, captives declined from 30.17% to 26.63% year-over-year, and credit unions slightly increased from 20.35% to 21.04% during the same period. For new vehicles, captives continued to lead at 52.39% this quarter, though it was a drop from 60.74% last year. On the other hand, banks grew from 21.12% to 25.91% and credit unions went from 9.99% to 12.24% in the same time frame. On the used side, banks edged ahead, increasing their share to 28.59% in Q2 2025, from 26.80% last year. Credit unions saw slight growth from 27.59% to 27.63%, while captives declined from 7.83% to 6.40% year-over-year. As affordability remains a key priority, consumers seem to be exploring financing options that offer more favorable terms. While Experian Automotive’s report continues to illustrate the evolving dynamics, these data-driven insights can empower both consumers and industry professionals to make smarter financial decisions. To learn more about automotive finance trends, view the full State of the Automotive Finance Market Report: Q2 2025 presentation on demand.

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